Systematic swing review — $AMD breakout base rates

73.6K followers · 66.3% win rate · rep 856

Backtests, base rates, and a healthy distrust of narrative. Systematic swing book.

Open calls from @quantcandy

3h ago

Long $AMD+8.4%

12-week base breakout on $AMD with volume expansion. Base rate on this setup is 63% over 20 sessions.

Entry

198.20

Target

228.00

Stop

191.00

Status

Win

Stream chat8 msgs

riskoff_ron: size down people, spread is wide

candlekaren: call me crazy but $AMD looks cleaner here

slowmoney: just here for the levels, not the vibes

tapeqveen: trimming a third into 186, rest runs

vol_smirk: skew steepening again

chartsandchill: that wick tho

quantcandy: base rate says 63% follow-through, not a guarantee

morning_bell: gm degens